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在全球供应链重组和区域竞争加剧的背景下,越中经济关系已成为东亚经济格局的重要组成部分。文章回顾了2020—2024年双边贸易与投资的最新进展,识别了其中的战略机遇与挑战。中国对越南的外国直接投资(FDI)在项目数量和地域分布上均呈显著增长,但总体规模和技术含量仍然有限,不过其向高技术领域转型的趋势已初步显现。2024年,双边贸易额达2052.33亿美元,越南创下828.09亿美元的逆差。基于上述趋势,文章提出以下政策建议:一是深化双边合作以缓解贸易失衡并优化投资环境;二是优先推进跨境基础设施联合投资;三是提升监管透明度与可预见性;四是扩大越南农产品进入中国市场的机会;五是强化中小企业在双边合作中的作用;六是推动双方在可再生能源、人工智能、生物技术和数字经济等新兴领域的战略协作。上述措施旨在推动越中经济合作向更加平衡、创新驱动和可持续的方向发展。
Abstract:Against the backdrop of global supply chain restructuring and intensifying regional competition, Vietnam–China economic relations have become an integral component of East Asian economic landscape. This study reviews recent developments in bilateral trade and investment between 2020 and 2024, identifying both strategic opportunities and challenges. During this period, China's foreign direct investment(FDI) in Vietnam grew markedly in terms of project numbers and geographical coverage, yet its overall scale and technological sophistication remain limited, with only an emerging trend toward high-technology sectors. In 2024, bilateral trade reached USD 205.23billion, and Vietnam recorded a historic trade deficit of USD 82.81 billion. In light of these dynamics, this paper proposes several policy recommendations: deepening bilateral cooperation to mitigate trade imbalances and optimize investment environment; prioritizing joint investment in cross-border infrastructure; enhancing regulatory transparency and predictability; expanding market access for Vietnamese agricultural products in China; strengthening the role of small and medium-sized enterprises in bilateral cooperation; and promoting strategic collaboration in emerging fields such as renewable energy, artificial intelligence, biotechnology, and the digital economy. Collectively,these measures aim to advance Vietnam–China economic cooperation toward a more balanced, innovation-driven,and sustainable trajectory.
(1)“ASEAN investment report 2024”, The ASEAN Secretariat, accessed October, 2004, https://asean.org/wp-content/uploads/2024/10/AIR2024-3.pdf.
(2)数据来源于越南国家统计局统计司-财政部,https://www.gso.gov.vn。
(1)数据来源于越南国家统计局统计司-财政部,https://www.gso.gov.vn。
(1)Ministry of Planning and Investment of Vietnam,“FDI Acctraction in 2024”, https://www.mpi.gov.vn/en/Pages/2025-1-9/FDIattraction-in-2024hjke3g.aspx.
(1)CAO P N, Nguyen T N.“Chinese investment in to vietnam”, International Journal of Business Management and Economic Review 6, no.3(2023):98-107.
(2)TU T A, CHU T P, TRUONG T H.“Impacts of the US-China Trade Tension and RCEP on Vietnam-China Trade Balance”,Russian Journal of Vietnamese Studies 8, no.1(2024):38-51.
(3)“Vietnam Solar Report”, https://www.pvknowhow.com/solar-report/vietnam/.
基本信息:
中图分类号:F133.3;F125
引用信息:
[1]Nguyen Thi Vu Ha,刘洋.越中经济合作:现状、前景与建议[J].广西经济,2025,43(04):63-73.
2025-08-30
2025-08-30